MODE: Hail Verification

model_applications/short_range/MODE_fcstHRRR_obsMRMS_Hail_GRIB2.conf

Scientific Objective

To provide statistical inforation on the forecast hail size compared to the observed hail size from MRMS MESH data. Using objects to verify hail size avoids the “unfair penalty” issue, where a CAM must first generate convection to have any chance of accurately predicting the hail size. In addition, studies have shown that MRMS MESH observed hail sizes do not correlate one- to-one with observed sizes but can only be used to group storms into general categories. Running MODE allows a user to do this.

Version Added

METplus version 3.0

Datasets

Forecast: HRRRv4 data

Observation: MRMS

Climatology: None

Location: All of the input data required for this use case can be found in a sample data tarball. Each use case category will have one or more sample data tarballs. It is only necessary to download the tarball with the use case’s dataset and not the entire collection of sample data. Click here to access the METplus releases page and download sample data for the appropriate release: https://github.com/dtcenter/METplus/releases This tarball should be unpacked into the directory that you will set the value of INPUT_BASE. See Running METplus section for more information.

METplus Components

This use case runs MODE to create object statistics on forecast hail size from the HRRR version 4 model and the observed MRMS MESH hail size.

METplus Workflow

Beginning time (VALID_BEG): 2019052902

End time (VALID_END): 2019052903

Increment between beginning and end times (VALID_INCREMENT): 3600

Sequence of forecast leads to process:
LEAD_SEQ_MIN = 12
LEAD_SEQ_MAX = 36

The MODE tool is run for each time. This example loops by valid time. It processes 2 valid times, listed below.

Valid: 2019-05-29_02Z
Forecast lead: 26
Valid: 2019-05-29_03Z
Forecast lead: 27

METplus Configuration

METplus first loads all of the configuration files found in parm/metplus_config, then it loads any configuration files passed to METplus via the command line, i.e. parm/use_cases/model_applications/short_range/MODE_fcstHRRR_obsMRMS_Hail_GRIB2.conf

[config]

# Documentation for this use case can be found at
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/generated/model_applications/short_range/MODE_fcstHRRR_obsMRMS_Hail_GRIB2.html

# For additional information, please see the METplus Users Guide.
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide

###
# Processes to run
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#process-list
###

PROCESS_LIST = MODE


###
# Time Info
# LOOP_BY options are INIT, VALID, RETRO, and REALTIME
# If set to INIT or RETRO:
#   INIT_TIME_FMT, INIT_BEG, INIT_END, and INIT_INCREMENT must also be set
# If set to VALID or REALTIME:
#   VALID_TIME_FMT, VALID_BEG, VALID_END, and VALID_INCREMENT must also be set
# LEAD_SEQ is the list of forecast leads to process
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#timing-control
###

LOOP_BY = valid
VALID_TIME_FMT = %Y%m%d%H
VALID_BEG = 2019052902
VALID_END = 2019052903
VALID_INCREMENT = 3600

INIT_SEQ = 0
LEAD_SEQ_MAX = 36
LEAD_SEQ_MIN = 12


###
# File I/O
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#directory-and-filename-template-info
###

FCST_MODE_INPUT_DIR = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/short_range/hrrr_esrl
FCST_MODE_INPUT_TEMPLATE = {init?fmt=%Y%m%d}/hrrr_esrl_{init?fmt=%Y%m%d%H}f{lead?fmt=%HHH}.grib2

OBS_MODE_INPUT_DIR = {INPUT_BASE}/model_applications/short_range/hrrr_esrl
OBS_MODE_INPUT_TEMPLATE = {valid?fmt=%Y%m%d}/mrms.MESH_Max_60min.{valid?fmt=%Y%m%d}_{valid?fmt=%H%M%S}.grib2

MODE_OUTPUT_DIR = {OUTPUT_BASE}/hailtest
MODE_VERIFICATION_MASK_TEMPLATE = {FCST_MODE_INPUT_DIR}/{init?fmt=%Y%m%d}_hrefv2_subdomainmask.nc


###
# Field Info
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/systemconfiguration.html#field-info
###

MODEL = HRRRv4_HAILCAST
FCST_VAR1_NAME = HAIL
FCST_VAR1_LEVELS = L0
FCST_VAR1_OPTIONS = convert(x) = x / 0.0254
MODE_FCST_CENSOR_THRESH = >0&&<0.75
MODE_FCST_CENSOR_VAL = -9999.0
MODE_FCST_FILTER_ATTR_NAME = AREA
MODE_FCST_FILTER_ATTR_THRESH = >=4

OBTYPE = MRMS
OBS_VAR1_NAME = MESHMax60min
OBS_VAR1_LEVELS = Z500
OBS_VAR1_OPTIONS = convert(x) = MM_to_IN(x);
MODE_OBS_CENSOR_THRESH = >0&&<0.75
MODE_OBS_CENSOR_VAL = -9999.0
MODE_OBS_FILTER_ATTR_NAME = AREA
MODE_OBS_FILTER_ATTR_THRESH = >=4


###
# MODE Settings
# https://metplus.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Users_Guide/wrappers.html#mode
###

MODE_QUILT = True

MODE_CONV_RADIUS = 4

MODE_CONV_THRESH = >=0.5

MODE_MERGE_THRESH = >=0.0

MODE_MERGE_FLAG = NONE

MODE_MATCH_FLAG = NO_MERGE

MODE_MAX_CENTROID_DIST = 400.0/grid_res

MODE_MASK_MISSING_FLAG = BOTH

MODE_MASK_POLY_FLAG = BOTH

MODE_WEIGHT_INTEN_PERC_VALUE = 99

MODE_TOTAL_INTEREST_THRESH = 0.5

MODE_REGRID_TO_GRID = FCST
MODE_REGRID_METHOD = MAX
MODE_REGRID_WIDTH = 2

MET Configuration

METplus sets environment variables based on user settings in the METplus configuration file. See How METplus controls MET config file settings for more details.

YOU SHOULD NOT SET ANY OF THESE ENVIRONMENT VARIABLES YOURSELF! THEY WILL BE OVERWRITTEN BY METPLUS WHEN IT CALLS THE MET TOOLS!

If there is a setting in the MET configuration file that is currently not supported by METplus you’d like to control, please refer to: Overriding Unsupported MET config file settings

MODEConfig_wrapped
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
//
// MODE configuration file.
//
// For additional information, see the MET_BASE/config/README file.
//
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Output model name to be written
//
// model =
${METPLUS_MODEL}

//
// Output description to be written
//
// desc =
${METPLUS_DESC}

//
// Output observation type to be written
//
// obtype =
${METPLUS_OBTYPE}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Verification grid
//
// regrid = {
${METPLUS_REGRID_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Approximate grid resolution (km)
//
// grid_res =
${METPLUS_GRID_RES}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Run all permutations of radius and threshold
//
// quilt =
${METPLUS_QUILT}

//
// MODE Multivar boolean combination logic
//
//multivar_logic =
${METPLUS_MULTIVAR_LOGIC}

//multivar_intensity_compare_fcst =
${METPLUS_MULTIVAR_INTENSITY_COMPARE_FCST}

//multivar_intensity_compare_obs =
${METPLUS_MULTIVAR_INTENSITY_COMPARE_OBS}

//
// Forecast and observation fields to be verified
//
fcst = {
   //field = {
   ${METPLUS_FCST_FIELD}

   //censor_thresh      = [
   ${METPLUS_FCST_CENSOR_THRESH}
   //censor_val         = [
   ${METPLUS_FCST_CENSOR_VAL}
   //conv_radius        =
   ${METPLUS_FCST_CONV_RADIUS}
   //conv_thresh        =
   ${METPLUS_FCST_CONV_THRESH}
   //vld_thresh         =
   ${METPLUS_FCST_VLD_THRESH}
   //filter_attr_name   = [
   ${METPLUS_FCST_FILTER_ATTR_NAME}
   //filter_attr_thresh = [
   ${METPLUS_FCST_FILTER_ATTR_THRESH}
   //merge_thresh       =
   ${METPLUS_FCST_MERGE_THRESH}
   //merge_flag         =
   ${METPLUS_FCST_MERGE_FLAG}

   ${METPLUS_FCST_FILE_TYPE}
   ${METPLUS_FCST_MULTIVAR_NAME}
   ${METPLUS_FCST_MULTIVAR_LEVEL}
}

obs = {
   //field = {
   ${METPLUS_OBS_FIELD}

   //censor_thresh      = [
   ${METPLUS_OBS_CENSOR_THRESH}
   //censor_val         = [
   ${METPLUS_OBS_CENSOR_VAL}
   //conv_radius        =
   ${METPLUS_OBS_CONV_RADIUS}
   //conv_thresh        =
   ${METPLUS_OBS_CONV_THRESH}
   //vld_thresh         =
   ${METPLUS_OBS_VLD_THRESH}
   //filter_attr_name   = [
   ${METPLUS_OBS_FILTER_ATTR_NAME}
   //filter_attr_thresh = [
   ${METPLUS_OBS_FILTER_ATTR_THRESH}
   //merge_thresh       =
   ${METPLUS_OBS_MERGE_THRESH}
   //merge_flag         =
   ${METPLUS_OBS_MERGE_FLAG}

   ${METPLUS_OBS_FILE_TYPE}
   ${METPLUS_OBS_MULTIVAR_NAME}
   ${METPLUS_OBS_MULTIVAR_LEVEL}
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Handle missing data
//
// mask_missing_flag =
${METPLUS_MASK_MISSING_FLAG}

//
// Match objects between the forecast and observation fields
//
//match_flag =
${METPLUS_MATCH_FLAG}

//
// Maximum centroid distance for objects to be compared
//
//max_centroid_dist =
${METPLUS_MAX_CENTROID_DIST}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Verification masking regions
//
//mask = {
${METPLUS_MASK_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Fuzzy engine weights
//
//weight = {
${METPLUS_WEIGHT_DICT}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Fuzzy engine interest functions
//
interest_function = {

   //centroid_dist = (
   ${METPLUS_INTEREST_FUNCTION_CENTROID_DIST}

   //boundary_dist = (
   ${METPLUS_INTEREST_FUNCTION_BOUNDARY_DIST}

   //convex_hull_dist = (
   ${METPLUS_INTEREST_FUNCTION_CONVEX_HULL_DIST}

   angle_diff = (
      (  0.0, 1.0 )
      ( 30.0, 1.0 )
      ( 90.0, 0.0 )
   );

   aspect_diff = (
      (  0.00, 1.0 )
      (  0.10, 1.0 )
      (  0.75, 0.0 )
   );

   corner   = 0.8;
   ratio_if = (
      (    0.0, 0.0 )
      ( corner, 1.0 )
      (    1.0, 1.0 )
   );

   area_ratio = ratio_if;

   int_area_ratio = (
      ( 0.00, 0.00 )
      ( 0.10, 0.50 )
      ( 0.25, 1.00 )
      ( 1.00, 1.00 )
   );

   curvature_ratio = ratio_if;

   complexity_ratio = ratio_if;

   inten_perc_ratio = ratio_if;
}

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Total interest threshold for determining matches
//
//total_interest_thresh =
${METPLUS_TOTAL_INTEREST_THRESH}

//
// Interest threshold for printing output pair information
//
print_interest_thresh = 0.0;

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// Plotting information
//
met_data_dir = "MET_BASE";

fcst_raw_plot = {
   color_table      = "MET_BASE/colortables/met_default.ctable";
   plot_min         = 0.0;
   plot_max         = 0.0;
}

obs_raw_plot = {
   color_table      = "MET_BASE/colortables/met_default.ctable";
   plot_min         = 0.0;
   plot_max         = 0.0;
}

object_plot = {
   color_table      = "MET_BASE/colortables/mode_obj.ctable";
}

//
// Boolean for plotting on the region of valid data within the domain
//
plot_valid_flag = FALSE;

//
// Plot polyline edges using great circle arcs instead of straight lines
//
plot_gcarc_flag = FALSE;

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

//
// NetCDF matched pairs, PostScript, and contingency table output files
//
//ps_plot_flag =
${METPLUS_PS_PLOT_FLAG}

//nc_pairs_flag = {
${METPLUS_NC_PAIRS_FLAG_DICT}

//ct_stats_flag =
${METPLUS_CT_STATS_FLAG}


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

shift_right = 0;   //  grid squares

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

${METPLUS_OUTPUT_PREFIX}
//version        = "V10.0";

tmp_dir = "${MET_TMP_DIR}";

////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

${METPLUS_TIME_OFFSET_WARNING}
${METPLUS_MET_CONFIG_OVERRIDES}

Python Embedding

This use case does not use Python embedding.

User Scripting

User Scripting is not used in this use case.

Running METplus

Pass the use case configuration file to the run_metplus.py script along with any user-specific system configuration files if desired:

run_metplus.py /path/to/METplus/parm/use_cases/model_applications/short_range/MODE_fcstHRRRE_obsMRMS_Hail_GRIB2.conf /path/to/user_system.conf

See Running METplus for more information.

Expected Output

A successful run will output the following both to the screen and to the logfile:

INFO: METplus has successfully finished running.

Refer to the value set for OUTPUT_BASE to find where the output data was generated. Output for this use case will be found in hailtest (relative to OUTPUT_BASE) and will contain the following files:

mode_260000L_20190529_020000V_010000A_cts.txt mode_260000L_20190529_020000V_010000A_obj.nc mode_260000L_20190529_020000V_010000A_obj.txt mode_260000L_20190529_020000V_010000A.ps mode_270000L_20190529_030000V_010000A_cts.txt mode_270000L_20190529_030000V_010000A_obj.nc mode_270000L_20190529_030000V_010000A_obj.txt mode_270000L_20190529_030000V_010000A.ps

Keywords

Note

  • MODEToolUseCase

  • ShortRangeAppUseCase

  • GRIB2FileUseCase

  • RegriddingInToolUseCase

  • NOAAHWTOrgUseCase

  • NCAROrgUseCase

  • DiagnosticsUseCase

Navigate to the METplus Quick Search for Use Cases page to discover other similar use cases.

#

Gallery generated by Sphinx-Gallery